Lockdowns Never Again: Sweden Was Right

When virus not so novel any more, immunity

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By Jim Bowman

Writer

In life, we encounter things which may work in theory, but not in practice.  Communism is famously one of those things.  Time travel is another.

With any luck, Americans will soon come to realize that strict social distancing, economic lockdowns, and mask-wearing all belong in that category of supposedly sound ideas that simply don't work in reality.

Oh?

For evidence, let's look to Sweden.  As Dr. Sebastian Rushworth, an ER doctor at a hospital in Stockholm, writes on his blog, "COVID is over in Sweden.  People have gone back to their normal lives and barely anyone is getting infected anymore."

Unlike so many other countries, "Sweden never went into complete lockdown," Dr. Rushworth writes.  Non-essential businesses remained open, people continued frequenting restaurants, the kids stayed in school, and "very few people have bothered with face masks."

Heresy!

Basically, Sweden did the exact opposite of what most Americans tragically still believe are the necessary requirements to reach the outcome that Sweden has achieved.

He argues what should now be obvious to any rational, thinking person, which is that "the size of the response in most of the world (not including Sweden) has been totally disproportionate to the threat."

They got a hammer for the fly on baby's nose.

Naysayers may point to Sweden's mortality rate to discount its success.  But the virus has taken nearly 6,000 people in a country of 10 million, and one which tallies about 100,000 annual deaths each year.

Given that 70 percent of those who died with COVID were over the age of 80 and very unhealthy, he argues, "quite a few of those 6,000 would have died this year anyway," making COVID a "mere blip in terms of its effect on mortality."

And, while Sweden will likely continue to see deaths from COVID, it will likely never see anything close to those numbers again.  The large number of deaths can be clearly attributed to a "complete lack of any immunity" to this novel coronavirus.

Oh. Immunity.

A few months ago, Dr. Rushworth says, "practically everyone who was tested had COVID," even if the presenting symptom was a "nose bleed" or "stomach pain."  Today, he reports that he hasn't seen a COVID patient in over a month, and even when he tests patients with fever or cough, the "tests invariably come back as negative."

To be clear, Sweden's economy is wide open.  No one is social distancing or wearing a ridiculous mask.  Life is back to normal, and the infection rate is still falling.  It's pretty safe to say the population in Sweden has now built some level of immunity to the virus, and all signs indeed point to the pandemic being over in Sweden.

Yes. Virus not so novel any more. Now immunity.

What is the obvious takeaway from this?  Perhaps Dr. Rushworth sums it up best, saying that he is "willing to bet that the countries that have shut down completely will see rates spike when they open up. If that is the case, then there won't have been any point in shutting down in the first place."

In other words, all of the lockdowns will have been meaningless.

S–t!

But we were assured that the lockdowns, the distancing, the masks, all of it, would absolutely work, because science (Science!) suggested that these are the only things that could work.

Science. Oh.

more more more to come . . .  via American Thinker

Contact:
Email: jimbowman7@aol.com Twitter: @BlitheSp

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Reader Comments

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Jim Bowman from Chicago  

Posted: August 28th, 2020 5:09 PM

George Irving T: You cite voluntary Swedish shutdown, which I'm glad to know about. We have been talking universal, mandated shutdown, however, which besides its obvious civil libertarian aspects also had the one-size-fits-all aspect. I would expect the voluntary would work better, for one thing. Maybe you have views on that.

Jim Bowman  

Posted: August 27th, 2020 6:07 PM

George Irving T.: 'I can't get over how many otherwise intelligent people such as Jim Bowman have such a poor sense of reality and will find a way to believe whatever they want to believe. An emergency room doctor is not an infection control specialist either. I suggest Jim should take a course in critical analysis and critical thinking.' Well, nice going, George. Superior style at its best. WTF!

Jim Bowman  

Posted: August 27th, 2020 6:01 PM

George Irving T.: "The article referenced in the blog post starts out with "Ok, I want to preface this article by stating that it is entirely anecdotal and based on my experience working as a doctor in the emergency room of one of the big hospitals in Stockholm, Sweden, and of living as a citizen in Sweden." So the opinions and conclusions are hardly science based." But George, they are pretty good contribution to the debate, especially in the present company; he was there and we were not. You don't want to dismiss it, do you?

Jim Bowman  

Posted: August 24th, 2020 5:57 AM

U?is Spr?d?s, what's with the name? Not quite Facebook Verified. Juvenile stunt, I'd say.

William Dwyer Jr.  

Posted: August 21st, 2020 10:01 AM

The deaths per million figures are at best a starting point. George Irving Thompson get it exactly right. There's a lot more work to do once you've assembled all the pertinent facts.

George Irving Thompson from Oak Park  

Posted: August 21st, 2020 8:33 AM

Neal, Facts are not analysis. Facts are not conclusions. Facts are used to support analysis. and analysis is used support an argument. I've never questioned your facts (even though you have accused me of doing so.) I'm simply asking you to have an open mind about how your analyze the facts that are presented to you and not have a narrow interpretation that may exclude the right conclusion.

Nick Polido  

Posted: August 20th, 2020 3:11 PM

From the John Hopkins website: Other factors, many of which remain unknown.

Neal Buer from Oak Park  

Posted: August 20th, 2020 3:05 PM

@Jason, I keep telling everyone that I am looking at deaths per million. Period. George, William, and you keep bringing up your opinion on why deaths per million don't matter, can't be compared to other states, looking at the wrong countries, the density is different, etc. The deaths per million is a fact.

Jason Cohen  

Posted: August 20th, 2020 1:00 PM

@Neal, here are the actual facts. The US has a case fatality rate of 3.1%. Denmark's is 3.8%. Finland is 4.3%. Sweden's is 6.8%. Please explain how a country in much better overall health than the US has a mortality rate that's more than double the US. Please provide facts since you seem so keen on those. https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/mortality

Neal Buer from Oak Park  

Posted: August 20th, 2020 10:47 AM

@ U?is Spr?d?s, like you are cherry picking facts and anecdotes? Comical!

U?is Spr?d?s  

Posted: August 20th, 2020 9:20 AM

Sweden's example is once again abused and misrepresented in the opinion piece. Sweden did indeed have a different public health response to Covid 19 than many other nations. Its immediate neighbors - Norway, Finland, and Denmark had a stricter, lockdown-based approach than Sweden. Now I would submit that the Scandinavian countries resemble each other more than Sweden resembles Illinois or New Jersey, so let's look at the outcomes within Scandinavia, where one out of 4 countries had an "unrestrictive" approach. The op ed's argument would imply no difference in outcomes across the 4 countries, since "lockdowns don't matter", correct? Well as it turn out, that is far from the truth. Sweden's mortality per million inhabitants is approximately TEN TIMES GREATER than what is observed in Norway, Finland, and Denmark. This flies in the face of the lockdown immateriality argument. The reader should not be seduced by cherry-picked facts and anecdotes.

Nick Polido  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 3:20 PM

https://www.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases

Jason Cohen  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 12:58 PM

I only take my coronavirus advice from the CEO of MyPillow or doctors that believe in demons. They can tell me if Sweden got it right. We are making covid great again!!!

George Irving Thompson from Oak Park  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 12:04 PM

Neal, I don't think you bothered looking at the article I referenced. I suggest you forget about Sweden & JIm's post and just look at the USA headlines for the last 4 weeks. All the states that opened too quickly are now hot spots. Colleges that are opening in hot spot areas are closing almost immediately after a few days or weeks. By not following the CDC recommendations states and schools are simply elongating the problem. The health problem when unresolved means the economic problem will remain unresolved and elongated. Simply reviewing the headlines in recent weeks is all the information you need to know. We have to address the public health issue before the economic issue can be resolved. Not doing so just makes the problem worse and more people die. Just ask Herman Cain. (Oh,, I guess not.) Check this out instead - https://www.cnn.com/2020/08/17/politics/kristin-urquiza-democratic-national-convention-coronavirus-father-trump/index.html

William Dwyer Jr.  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 11:36 AM

You just see what you want to see, don't you, Neal? Sweden has no where near the density of New Jersey. So it's a poor example to use .

Neal Buer from Oak Park  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 11:33 AM

@George, the first comment said that Sweden was 8th in deaths per million. I pointed out that 15 states have more deaths per million than Sweden. These are facts. I find that when people disagree with facts, they get in the weeds to rationalize their position.

Neal Buer from Oak Park  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 11:27 AM

@William - You are the one mixing apples and oranges. I think deaths per million is a good indicator. Half of Sweden is not populated.

George Irving Thompson from Oak Park  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 10:14 AM

Also there could be lots of reasons results are different in different parts of the world. The strain in sweden could be different than the strain in New Jersey. The culture and density of people in sweden could be much different than in Illinois or New Jersey. Finally lets rely on some good old common sense. In our country the states that have locked down and use citizens are using masks are having the best results versus those that haven't. Texas and Florida were smug initially and now they are hot spots. Isn't this simply obvious.

George Irving Thompson from oak pakr  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 10:10 AM

I surveyed several different articles that were based on facts. One fact is that there was a significant voluntary shutdown by the people of sweden probably in response to the sharp spike they originally had. It doesn't matter if it is mandatory or voluntary if it still happens. see "https://www.newscientist.com/article/2251615-is-swedens-coronavirus-strategy-a-cautionary-tale-or-a-success-story/"

William Dwyer Jr.  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 10:07 AM

Here's a fact, Neal- Sweden has a population density of just 25 people per square kilometer, while New Jersey has 1,211 people per square mile. Apples and oranges, sport.

Neal Buer from Oak Park  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 9:58 AM

@George, I don't care what Jim wrote. Just look at the number of deaths per million. New Jersey was locked down is at over 1,860 per, and Sweden is at 574. Facts matter.

George Irving Thompson from Oak Park  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 9:49 AM

The article referenced in the blog post starts out with "Ok, I want to preface this article by stating that it is entirely anecdotal and based on my experience working as a doctor in the emergency room of one of the big hospitals in Stockholm, Sweden, and of living as a citizen in Sweden." So the opinions and conclusions are hardly science based. Since the article was written the infection rate and death rate has risen significantly in Sweden. I can't get over how many otherwise intelligent people such as Jim Bowman have such a poor sense of reality and will find a way to believe whatever they want to believe. An emergency room doctor is not an infection control specialist either. I suggest Jim should take a course in critical analysis and critical thinking.

Neal Buer from Oak Park  

Posted: August 19th, 2020 9:24 AM

To be fair, Sweden has a lot of deaths per million. Sweden's population is about the same as Illinois. Sweden did not "lock down". Illinois did. Illinois has 631 deaths per million. Sweden has 574. 15 states have more deaths per million than Sweden. Also, Sweden "front loaded" their problem, with a huge falloff in deaths. Daily deaths in Sweden today are minimal.

U?is Spr?d?s  

Posted: August 14th, 2020 10:06 AM

Unfortunately, the article is based on incomplete and misleading information. Sweden is currently in 8th position worldwide when ranking on Covid 19 fatalities per million inhabitants. Sweden's mortality rate is approximately 10 times greater than in neighboring countries Norway and Finland, where authorities imposed stricter lockdown rules than in Sweden. See: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/. Furthermore, there is little evidence that the Swedish economy experienced less of a recession than its neighbors. See: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/07/business/sweden-economy-coronavirus.html#:~:text=More%20than%20three%20months%20later,to%20the%20World%20Health%20Organization.&text=Sweden's%20central%20bank%20expects%20its,expected%20gain%20of%201.3%20percent.

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